San Diego to Bounce Along the Bottom, but No Double-Dip
Jun 6th, 2011 by Russell Petrone
Houses for Sale in San Diego- According to local San Diego real estate expert Gary London and USD economist Alan Gin, San Diego is not headed into a double-dip of real estate prices, but rather is bouncing along the bottom as forecasted. The San Diego economy has continued to add jobs and grow this year and is predicted to continue its slow recovery.
The University of San Diego Burnham-Moore Center for Real Estate’s Index of Leading Economic Indicators for San Diego grew by .09 in April, the biggest gain since January 2010 when it rose by 1.0 percent. Except for a dip in the national economy, the other five components all advanced higher. The index has risen now in 22 of the past 25 months. Alan Gin says, “Positive economic growth is expected for the local economy for the rest of 2011″.
Much of the recently predicted national real estate downturn is based on the S&P Case-Shiller report that describes sales that have occured in late 2010 and early 2011. As Gary London states, “While the market values and activity are irrefutably down, this index is still tracking mostly distressed sales, which continue to dominate the market. When the ‘want to’ sellers come back, gradually replacing the ‘have to’ sellers, and when lenders start lending we will know where we stand”. He points out that a move in the housing index of 2 percent in either direction is not newsworthy nor can you track the strength of the housing market in short-term increments.
Read the interview with Gary London and Alan Gin from KPBS studios on May 31, 2011 entitled, “Some Optimism About San Diego Economy, Real Estate” at:
http://www.kpbs.org/news/2011/may/31/san-diego-economy-real-estate-holding-steady/
For assistance with houses for sale in San Diego contact local real estate expert and Realtor Russ Petrone with Petrone Properities Real Estate Associates at (858) 775-1812 or at www.PetroneProperties.com